Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 14.052880 16.099251 18.355036 21.028692 24.114628 27.568715 31.733845
2025-11-02 11.067389 13.668398 16.767874 20.743155 25.720674 31.765717 39.692633
2025-11-09 9.320809 12.139766 15.689880 20.507359 26.903290 35.143699 46.631082
2025-11-16 8.063137 10.965884 14.790112 20.225284 27.798182 38.044247 53.074472
2025-11-23 7.057116 9.960611 13.937043 19.818994 28.364865 40.430826 58.938500
2025-11-30 6.633306 9.686739 14.020230 20.671233 30.716668 45.473251 69.071536
2025-12-07 6.132693 9.233737 13.778152 20.989091 32.269732 49.448629 77.986176
2025-12-14 5.618768 8.698894 13.346608 20.949801 33.234142 52.572747 85.848712
2025-12-21 5.142219 8.168694 12.860748 20.756884 33.903621 55.251180 93.215647
2025-12-28 4.928960 8.029304 12.964847 21.504698 36.149719 60.668368 105.719553
2026-01-04 4.691615 7.824912 12.938411 22.020533 38.035996 65.635887 117.945250
2026-01-11 4.521516 7.714205 13.050908 22.771979 40.383629 71.598964 132.574817
2026-01-18 4.127762 7.191594 12.427656 22.191597 40.330994 73.334804 139.651165
2026-01-25 3.820061 6.792834 11.984301 21.889553 40.750290 75.960921 148.708408
2026-02-01 3.552156 6.441314 11.592514 21.640046 41.231314 78.726341 158.311204
2026-02-08 3.303727 6.103881 11.196398 21.341583 41.579421 81.249753 167.672293
2026-02-15 3.061461 5.757663 10.754523 20.911707 41.619602 83.151791 175.919574
2026-02-22 3.008414 5.766223 10.981360 21.813447 44.419552 90.889592 197.521725
2026-03-01 2.889833 5.637296 10.931122 22.149795 46.078924 96.414872 214.873474
2026-03-08 2.737569 5.429305 10.707937 22.108218 46.930611 100.295960 228.930001
2026-03-15 2.580028 5.198311 10.420119 21.904079 47.407711 103.398711 241.515864
2026-03-22 2.534497 5.193118 10.591370 22.695426 50.150224 111.793347 267.673283
2026-03-29 2.466617 5.135685 10.648773 23.241336 52.388467 119.257407 292.439870